Tuesday, July 3, 2007

The Power of Counting Bars & Waves

Counting Bars

Over and over again, i am amazed at the repitition when i count the number of bars in a trend. the count frequently is one of the following numbers: 3,5,8,13,21,34, or 55. These numbers are members of set a numbers called the fibonacci number of sequence. take any chart, and use straight edge to mark the trends. count the number of bars in each trend and label the trend line with the bar count.

Each chart will have a characteristic that starts to appear. I have seen chart that with regularity move up and down for either 5 or 8 trading days, and then reverse direction. This tip can be used to develop patience. And know with greater accuracy on which day the trend top or bottom will put in place. (Esignsoftwere)

Counting Waves

Underlying forces cause markets to move work in ways that create identifiable pattern, or a series of waves, and each impulse is followed by a correction wave. The theory named after Ralph Nelson Elliot, is Basically expressed that there will be 5 waves in the main trend, followed by 3 waves in the corrective reaction.

Keep it simple. Look for trends with 5 waves and correction with 3 waves. If I see the pattern, my confidence is increased that the current price movement is due for a reversal. Also look at longer term daily,weekly and monthly charts to consider the direction of the security in its bigger picture. Trade with the trend and use corrections as opportunities to join the direction of the main trend.

Sunday, July 1, 2007

NFA Information

Ada sedikit informasi mengnai NFA..
mengenai broker-broker forex

NFA has been coming down pretty hard on the forex industry lately. They have shut down 4 brokers so far this month, due to fraud and/or lack of funding, and they are just warming up.

As far as I know, and I may be wrong, but the names of the brokers that were shut down in June are the following:
FX Option Inc.
Spot FX Clearing Corporation
Trend Commodities Limited
United Global Markets
You can search them on google to find the website address. Again, if I am wrong about any of these firms, I apologize.

I've been receiving information from some reliable sources, but it's not confirmed yet, but it seems like NFA will shut down any broker that has less than $5 million in funds. I am not sure of the exact time frame, but it seems like in the next month or two. That's not the real problem. The real problem is that I believe some of these bucketshops are not well managed, and when the time comes that they have to go out of business and give all the money back to their clients, they may not have enough. Or even if they do, it's entirely possible that some of their CEOs may run away with the funds offshore. So I suggest that you check on your broker's financial capability by going to this link.
http://www.cftc.gov/files/tm/fcm/tmfcmdata0704.pdf
Don't get me wrong, I do believe that some serious firms that currently don't have enough funds could get enough funds to meet the requirements, but I do think that your safety of funds in some smaller firms could be under risk.

The rumor on the street that NFA will raise capital requirement to 9 million by end of this year, but it's still a rumor. If that happens, I am sure we'll have most small forex brokers go out of business, and we'll probably only have 15 or 20 left, which I think is a good thing.

Anyway, check your broker through the link above, and if you feel you could be at risk, perhaps consider taking your money, before it's too late, and the avalanche starts.

I think this is a very important heads up, and I want to make sure that my subscribers like you are taken cared of before everyone else, so don't post this on any forums, until your own funds are secure...( Felix Homogratus )